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Europa League · League phase MD5

Juventus

JUV

Omonia Nicosia

OMO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juventus52%
Draw24%
Omonia Nicosia24%

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.18

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.9%
  • 219.7%
  • 109.7%
  • 208.1%
  • 126.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession46%
27%Territory37%
From set plays38%
0.38Chance quality0.03
6.8%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Juventus, 1 for Omonia Nicosia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.