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Europa League · League phase MD5

Juventus

JUV

Omonia Nicosia

OMO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juventus49%
Draw25%
Omonia Nicosia26%

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.26

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession38%
51%Territory27%
18%From set plays3%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Juventus, 2 for Omonia Nicosia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.