Skip to content

Europa League · League phase MD3

Juventus

JUV

Rennes

REN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juventus49%
Draw25%
Rennes26%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.24

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 219.6%
  • 109.3%
  • 207.5%
  • 126.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession62%
27%Territory34%
From set plays21%
0.38Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Juventus, 1 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.