Europa League · League phase MD8
Juventus
JUV
Real Sociedad
RSO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus51%
Draw24%
Real Sociedad25%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.24
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession62%
27%Territory38%
—From set plays57%
0.38Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Juventus, 1 for Real Sociedad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Juventus
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.