Europa League · League phase MD6
Benfica
BEN
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica61%
Draw22%
OFI Crete17%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.02
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–09.8%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession35%
53%Territory23%
15%From set plays10%
0.13Chance quality0.04
4.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Benfica, 2 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
OFI Crete
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.