Europa League · League phase MD6
Benfica
BEN
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica43%
Draw27%
OFI Crete30%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.27
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession33%
41%Territory17%
8%From set plays16%
0.06Chance quality0.16
10.2%Directness10.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Benfica, 1 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.