Europa League · League phase MD6
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen43%
Draw26%
Beşiktaş32%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.37
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession54%
44%Territory39%
12%From set plays4%
0.14Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Leverkusen, 1 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.