Europa League · League phase MD6
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen55%
Draw23%
Beşiktaş22%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.24
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession53%
49%Territory39%
9%From set plays29%
0.17Chance quality0.16
4.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Leverkusen, 2 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.