Champions League · League phase MD7
Sabah FK
SAB
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sabah FK35%
Draw29%
Napoli36%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.28
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession46%
33%Territory45%
26%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.5%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sabah FK, 2 for Napoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sabah FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.