Champions League · League phase MD3
Sabah FK
SAB
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sabah FK24%
Draw24%
Dortmund52%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.85
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–27.7%
- 2–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession52%
28%Territory51%
10%From set plays5%
0.08Chance quality0.16
6.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Sabah FK, 1 for Dortmund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sabah FK
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Dortmund
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.