Champions League · League phase MD4
Viking
VIK
Sabah FK
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viking41%
Draw27%
Sabah FK32%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.26
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession45%
40%Territory33%
18%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Viking, 2 for Sabah FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.