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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Champions League · League phase MD7

Viking

VIK

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viking31%
Draw27%
PSV Eindhoven42%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.52

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

40%Possession59%
40%Territory41%
18%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Viking, 2 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.