Champions League · League phase MD4
Lens
RCL
Como
COM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lens36%
Draw28%
Como36%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.33
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession54%
40%Territory36%
33%From set plays2%
0.09Chance quality0.15
3.7%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lens, 2 for Como. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.