Champions League · League phase MD6
Lens
RCL
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lens45%
Draw24%
Bodø/Glimt31%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.50
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.2%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession34%
48%Territory42%
36%From set plays70%
0.07Chance quality0.10
3.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lens, 1 for Bodø/Glimt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bodø/Glimt
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.