Champions League · League phase MD6
Lens
RCL
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lens38%
Draw26%
Bodø/Glimt37%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.54
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.4%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession53%
40%Territory52%
33%From set plays38%
0.09Chance quality0.14
3.7%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lens, 2 for Bodø/Glimt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.