Champions League · League phase MD2
Lens
RCL
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lens25%
Draw27%
Sporting CP47%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.51
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–112.1%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–08.8%
- 0–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession38%
48%Territory32%
36%From set plays5%
0.07Chance quality0.22
3.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lens, 1 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.