Champions League · League phase MD5
Como
COM
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como48%
Draw27%
AEK Athens25%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.09
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession41%
36%Territory27%
2%From set plays10%
0.15Chance quality0.10
2.3%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Como, 2 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.