Champions League · League phase MD5
Como
COM
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como44%
Draw27%
AEK Athens29%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.24
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession49%
36%Territory38%
6%From set plays39%
0.21Chance quality0.10
3.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Como, 1 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AEK Athens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.