Champions League · League phase MD3
Como
COM
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Como41%
Draw26%
Man United32%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.36
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession58%
36%Territory47%
6%From set plays14%
0.21Chance quality0.17
3.3%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Como, 1 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.