Champions League · League phase MD6
LASK
LAS
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LASK40%
Draw28%
Fenerbahçe32%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.23
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession42%
39%Territory25%
35%From set plays4%
0.07Chance quality0.14
4.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for LASK, 1 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
LASK
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.