Champions League · League phase MD6
LASK
LAS
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
LASK42%
Draw27%
Fenerbahçe31%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.30
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession52%
37%Territory41%
22%From set plays15%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for LASK, 2 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fenerbahçe
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.