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Champions League · League phase MD2

LASK

LAS

Liverpool

LIV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LASK12%
Draw20%
Liverpool68%

Expected goals

0.80 – 2.08

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0112.3%
  • 0212.2%
  • 129.7%
  • 119.2%
  • 038.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession45%
39%Territory52%
35%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for LASK, 1 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.