Champions League · League phase MD6
AEK Athens
AEK
Galatasaray
GAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens37%
Draw29%
Galatasaray34%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.24
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession37%
27%Territory28%
10%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for AEK Athens, 2 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.