Champions League · League phase MD7
AEK Athens
AEK
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens44%
Draw28%
Roma29%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.17
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession58%
38%Territory51%
39%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.06
6.7%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for AEK Athens, 1 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AEK Athens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.