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Champions League · League phase MD7

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Club Brugge

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfB Stuttgart42%
Draw25%
Club Brugge33%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.49

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession52%
51%Territory37%
36%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.24
3.8%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for VfB Stuttgart, 2 for Club Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.