Champions League · League phase MD6
Slovan Bratislava
SLO
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Slovan Bratislava38%
Draw27%
Shakhtar Donetsk35%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.35
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
28%Possession46%
26%Territory25%
30%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.08
8.1%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Slovan Bratislava, 1 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Slovan Bratislava
Shakhtar Donetsk
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.