Champions League · League phase MD6
Slovan Bratislava
SLO
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Slovan Bratislava33%
Draw30%
Shakhtar Donetsk38%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.26
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–010.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
32%Possession55%
34%Territory45%
50%From set plays40%
0.04Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Slovan Bratislava, 2 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Slovan Bratislava
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.