Champions League · League phase MD5
Slavia Prague
SLA
Villarreal
VIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Slavia Prague34%
Draw30%
Villarreal36%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.23
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–010.2%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession48%
38%Territory28%
59%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.11
12.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Slavia Prague, 1 for Villarreal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.