Champions League · League phase MD5
Slavia Prague
SLA
Villarreal
VIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Slavia Prague36%
Draw30%
Villarreal34%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.16
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–111.1%
- 0–010.8%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession50%
34%Territory43%
27%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Slavia Prague, 2 for Villarreal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Slavia Prague
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.