Champions League · League phase MD8
Slavia Prague
SLA
Aston Villa
AVL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Slavia Prague29%
Draw27%
Aston Villa44%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.49
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession50%
34%Territory48%
27%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Slavia Prague, 2 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Slavia Prague
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.