Champions League · League phase MD8
Slavia Prague
SLA
Aston Villa
AVL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Slavia Prague30%
Draw27%
Aston Villa43%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.54
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession36%
38%Territory35%
59%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.15
12.9%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Slavia Prague, 1 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.