Champions League · League phase MD4
Slavia Prague
SLA
Arsenal
ARS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Slavia Prague6%
Draw14%
Arsenal80%
Expected goals
0.58 – 2.49
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
41%
Fair handicap
1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–214.6%
- 0–112.1%
- 0–311.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–47.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession58%
38%Territory71%
59%From set plays6%
0.09Chance quality0.16
12.9%Directness1.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Slavia Prague, 1 for Arsenal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.