Champions League · League phase MD4
Slavia Prague
SLA
Arsenal
ARS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Slavia Prague9%
Draw19%
Arsenal72%
Expected goals
0.62 – 2.07
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
41%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.6%
- 0–214.6%
- 0–39.7%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession56%
34%Territory54%
27%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Slavia Prague, 2 for Arsenal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Slavia Prague
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.