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Champions League · League phase MD4

Galatasaray

GAL

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Galatasaray46%
Draw27%
VfB Stuttgart27%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.13

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1011.3%
  • 219.2%
  • 008.3%
  • 018.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

62%Possession62%
47%Territory49%
57%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Galatasaray, 1 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Galatasaray

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.