Champions League · League phase MD5
Galatasaray
GAL
Aston Villa
AVL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Galatasaray37%
Draw28%
Aston Villa35%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.32
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession50%
28%Territory48%
15%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.14
7.0%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Galatasaray, 2 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.