Champions League · League phase MD5
Galatasaray
GAL
Aston Villa
AVL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Galatasaray45%
Draw27%
Aston Villa28%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.18
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession36%
47%Territory35%
57%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.0%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Galatasaray, 1 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Galatasaray
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.