Champions League · League phase MD2
Galatasaray
GAL
Barcelona
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Galatasaray27%
Draw26%
Barcelona47%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.60
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.5%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession72%
47%Territory50%
57%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.0%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Galatasaray, 1 for Barcelona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Galatasaray
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.