Champions League · League phase MD2
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHK
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shakhtar Donetsk41%
Draw28%
AEK Athens31%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.21
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession49%
25%Territory38%
8%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.