Champions League · League phase MD5
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHK
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shakhtar Donetsk41%
Draw28%
Fenerbahçe31%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.20
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession42%
25%Territory25%
8%From set plays4%
0.08Chance quality0.14
5.7%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 1 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shakhtar Donetsk
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.