Champions League · League phase MD3
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Slavia Prague
SLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe52%
Draw26%
Slavia Prague22%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.03
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession37%
25%Territory38%
4%From set plays59%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness12.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Fenerbahçe, 1 for Slavia Prague. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.