Champions League · League phase MD4
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe12%
Draw19%
Liverpool69%
Expected goals
0.88 – 2.26
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.2%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–38.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession59%
41%Territory50%
15%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Fenerbahçe, 2 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fenerbahçe
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.