Champions League · League phase MD4
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe13%
Draw21%
Liverpool66%
Expected goals
0.82 – 2.04
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.2%
- 0–211.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.5%
- 0–37.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession45%
25%Territory52%
4%From set plays12%
0.14Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Fenerbahçe, 1 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.