Champions League · League phase MD6
Villarreal
VIL
Sabah FK
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Villarreal42%
Draw28%
Sabah FK30%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.15
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession42%
28%Territory28%
26%From set plays10%
0.11Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Villarreal, 1 for Sabah FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sabah FK
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.