Champions League · League phase MD6
Villarreal
VIL
Sabah FK
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Villarreal44%
Draw28%
Sabah FK28%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.09
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–09.3%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession45%
43%Territory33%
9%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.2%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Villarreal, 2 for Sabah FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.