Champions League · League phase MD8
Villarreal
VIL
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Villarreal40%
Draw30%
Man United30%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.11
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession44%
43%Territory47%
9%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.09
3.2%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Villarreal, 2 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Man United
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.