Champions League · League phase MD5
RB Leipzig
RBL
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig41%
Draw28%
Lens31%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.25
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession50%
43%Territory40%
24%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for RB Leipzig, 2 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
RB Leipzig
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.