Champions League · League phase MD5
RB Leipzig
RBL
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig39%
Draw27%
Lens34%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.38
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession63%
44%Territory48%
14%From set plays36%
0.10Chance quality0.07
2.0%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for RB Leipzig, 1 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.