Champions League · League phase MD7
RB Leipzig
RBL
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig40%
Draw27%
Shakhtar Donetsk32%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.28
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession46%
44%Territory25%
14%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.08
2.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for RB Leipzig, 1 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shakhtar Donetsk
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.