Champions League · League phase MD7
RB Leipzig
RBL
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig39%
Draw29%
Shakhtar Donetsk32%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.18
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession55%
43%Territory45%
24%From set plays40%
0.11Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for RB Leipzig, 2 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
RB Leipzig
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.