Champions League · League phase MD2
RB Leipzig
RBL
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig35%
Draw26%
PSV Eindhoven38%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.51
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession54%
44%Territory41%
14%From set plays42%
0.10Chance quality0.04
2.0%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for RB Leipzig, 1 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PSV Eindhoven
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.