Champions League · League phase MD8
Napoli
NAP
Viking
VIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Napoli42%
Draw28%
Viking29%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.14
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession38%
28%Territory30%
0%From set plays30%
0.04Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Napoli, 1 for Viking. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.