Champions League · League phase MD8
Napoli
NAP
Viking
VIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Napoli49%
Draw27%
Viking24%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.04
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–012.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession40%
45%Territory40%
29%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Napoli, 2 for Viking. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.