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Champions League · League phase MD6

Napoli

NAP

Club Brugge

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Napoli40%
Draw27%
Club Brugge34%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.38

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 108.8%
  • 218.7%
  • 017.9%
  • 127.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

42%Possession64%
28%Territory44%
0%From set plays22%
0.04Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Napoli, 1 for Club Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.