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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Champions League · League phase MD6

Napoli

NAP

Club Brugge

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Napoli39%
Draw26%
Club Brugge35%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.50

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession52%
45%Territory37%
29%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.24
5.3%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Napoli, 2 for Club Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.