Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Champions League · League phase MD4

Bodø/Glimt

BOD

Lille

LIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bodø/Glimt51%
Draw24%
Lille25%

Expected goals

1.84 – 1.25

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

53%Possession49%
52%Territory25%
38%From set plays6%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Bodø/Glimt, 2 for Lille. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.