Champions League · League phase MD4
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Lille
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bodø/Glimt47%
Draw24%
Lille29%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.45
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.4%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
34%Possession45%
42%Territory30%
70%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Bodø/Glimt, 1 for Lille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bodø/Glimt
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.