Champions League · League phase MD2
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Borussia Dortmund
DOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bodø/Glimt28%
Draw23%
Dortmund49%
Expected goals
1.53 – 2.04
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.1%
- 1–29.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 2–16.6%
- 0–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
34%Possession52%
42%Territory51%
70%From set plays5%
0.10Chance quality0.16
6.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Bodø/Glimt, 1 for Dortmund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bodø/Glimt
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Dortmund
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.