Champions League · League phase MD7
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bodø/Glimt34%
Draw25%
Atlético Madrid40%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.64
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.8%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession52%
52%Territory37%
38%From set plays17%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Bodø/Glimt, 2 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bodø/Glimt
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.