Champions League · League phase MD7
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bodø/Glimt31%
Draw23%
Atlético Madrid45%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.92
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.5%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.1%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
34%Possession55%
42%Territory32%
70%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Bodø/Glimt, 1 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bodø/Glimt
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Atlético Madrid
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.