Champions League · League phase MD7
Lille
LIL
Slovan Bratislava
SLO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lille47%
Draw27%
Slovan Bratislava25%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.07
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession32%
25%Territory34%
6%From set plays50%
0.11Chance quality0.04
4.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lille, 2 for Slovan Bratislava. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lille
Slovan Bratislava
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.