Champions League · League phase MD3
Lille
LIL
Galatasaray
GAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lille34%
Draw28%
Galatasaray37%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.33
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–08.6%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession62%
30%Territory47%
12%From set plays57%
0.14Chance quality0.12
2.9%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lille, 1 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Galatasaray
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.