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Champions League · League phase MD8

Feyenoord

FEY

RB Leipzig

RBL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord40%
Draw28%
RB Leipzig31%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.20

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession40%
39%Territory43%
13%From set plays24%
0.06Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Feyenoord, 2 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.