Skip to content

Champions League · League phase MD5

Feyenoord

FEY

FC Porto

FCP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord40%
Draw29%
FC Porto31%

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.14

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession42%
39%Territory32%
13%From set plays17%
0.06Chance quality0.10
3.4%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Feyenoord, 2 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.