Champions League · League phase MD8
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
VfB Stuttgart
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven46%
Draw26%
VfB Stuttgart28%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.27
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession62%
41%Territory49%
42%From set plays18%
0.04Chance quality0.13
8.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for PSV Eindhoven, 1 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PSV Eindhoven
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.