Champions League · League phase MD8
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
VfB Stuttgart
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven44%
Draw27%
VfB Stuttgart29%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.20
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession59%
41%Territory51%
11%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for PSV Eindhoven, 2 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PSV Eindhoven
VfB Stuttgart
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.