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Champions League · League phase MD4

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Club Brugge

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PSV Eindhoven48%
Draw24%
Club Brugge28%

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.44

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.0%
  • 219.2%
  • 107.3%
  • 126.8%
  • 226.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession64%
41%Territory44%
42%From set plays22%
0.04Chance quality0.11
8.0%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for PSV Eindhoven, 1 for Club Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

PSV Eindhoven

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.