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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Champions League · League phase MD4

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Club Brugge

CLU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PSV Eindhoven44%
Draw24%
Club Brugge32%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.54

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession52%
41%Territory37%
11%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.24
5.4%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for PSV Eindhoven, 2 for Club Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.