Champions League · League phase MD6
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven36%
Draw27%
Atlético Madrid37%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.41
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession52%
41%Territory37%
11%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for PSV Eindhoven, 2 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PSV Eindhoven
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.