Champions League · League phase MD6
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven36%
Draw26%
Atlético Madrid39%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.59
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.0%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession55%
41%Territory32%
42%From set plays11%
0.04Chance quality0.10
8.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for PSV Eindhoven, 1 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PSV Eindhoven
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Atlético Madrid
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.