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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Champions League · League phase MD7

Real Betis

BET

Arsenal

ARS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Betis10%
Draw18%
Arsenal72%

Expected goals

0.71 – 2.18

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–213.2%
  • 0–112.6%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–39.3%
  • 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

55%Possession58%
39%Territory71%
27%From set plays6%
0.09Chance quality0.16
4.6%Directness1.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Real Betis, 1 for Arsenal. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.