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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Champions League · League phase MD3

Club Brugge

CLU

Lens

RCL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Club Brugge45%
Draw25%
Lens31%

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.45

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

64%Possession63%
44%Territory48%
22%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.07
4.7%Directness3.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Club Brugge, 1 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.