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Champions League · League phase MD5

Club Brugge

CLU

Liverpool

LIV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Club Brugge17%
Draw19%
Liverpool63%

Expected goals

1.23 – 2.39

Over 2.5

69%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.5%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 0–27.8%
  • 1–37.5%
  • 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession59%
37%Territory50%
22%From set plays25%
0.24Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Club Brugge, 2 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.