Champions League · League phase MD5
Club Brugge
CLU
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Club Brugge13%
Draw19%
Liverpool68%
Expected goals
0.98 – 2.33
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–18.3%
- 1–37.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
64%Possession45%
44%Territory52%
22%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Club Brugge, 1 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 18 matches, not the full season.