Champions League · League phase MD5
Club Brugge
CLU
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Club Brugge17%
Draw19%
Liverpool63%
Expected goals
1.23 – 2.39
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.5%
- 1–18.0%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–37.5%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession59%
37%Territory50%
22%From set plays25%
0.24Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Club Brugge, 2 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 31 of 54 matches, not the full season.